Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047542 0.051704 0.055920 0.060504 0.065340 0.070284 0.075713
2024-10-13 0.041408 0.047589 0.054079 0.061376 0.069324 0.077692 0.087142
2024-10-20 0.035531 0.043028 0.051170 0.060605 0.071174 0.082588 0.095783
2024-10-27 0.031846 0.040437 0.050049 0.061486 0.074604 0.089070 0.106117
2024-11-03 0.028050 0.037319 0.047996 0.061019 0.076289 0.093453 0.114025
2024-11-10 0.025278 0.035124 0.046771 0.061297 0.078664 0.098506 0.122636
2024-11-17 0.023206 0.033570 0.046132 0.062116 0.081554 0.104082 0.131820
2024-11-24 0.022462 0.033583 0.047330 0.065102 0.087004 0.112671 0.144575
2024-12-01 0.019611 0.030652 0.044666 0.063164 0.086355 0.113918 0.148589
2024-12-08 0.017672 0.028769 0.043192 0.062585 0.087264 0.116951 0.154677
2024-12-15 0.016053 0.027192 0.042002 0.062265 0.088414 0.120222 0.161018
2024-12-22 0.015542 0.027116 0.042767 0.064454 0.092723 0.127381 0.172124
2024-12-29 0.014623 0.026423 0.042699 0.065584 0.095758 0.133085 0.181631
2025-01-05 0.013693 0.025648 0.042471 0.066474 0.098480 0.138423 0.190744
2025-01-12 0.012294 0.024059 0.041020 0.065641 0.098910 0.140851 0.196243
2025-01-19 0.011550 0.023425 0.040878 0.066562 0.101626 0.146180 0.205394
2025-01-26 0.010467 0.022162 0.039755 0.066063 0.102412 0.149018 0.211407
2025-02-02 0.009693 0.021340 0.039226 0.066355 0.104229 0.153171 0.219092
2025-02-09 0.009131 0.020826 0.039121 0.067218 0.106803 0.158300 0.228034
2025-02-16 0.009169 0.021344 0.040594 0.070368 0.112532 0.167592 0.242372
2025-02-23 0.007989 0.019624 0.038536 0.068323 0.111055 0.167393 0.244480
2025-03-02 0.007230 0.018592 0.037494 0.067711 0.111522 0.169728 0.249845
2025-03-09 0.006590 0.017725 0.036664 0.067373 0.112342 0.172513 0.255794